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Semi Industry Capex Forecast to Jump 24% and Reach Over $190 Billion This Year

Tuesday, March 1st, 2022

2020-2022 expected to be the first 3-year period of double-digit capex growth since 1993-1995.

Figure 1 shows that after surging 36% in 2021, semiconductor industry capital spending is forecast to jump 24% in 2022 to a new all-time high of $190.4 billion, up 86% from just three years earlier in 2019. Moreover, if capital spending increases by ≥10% in 2022, it would mark the first three-year period of double-digit spending increases in the semiconductor industry since the 1993-1995 timeperiod.


Figure 1

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3Q21 Earnings Outlooks Bode Well for Most Leading Semi Suppliers

Friday, September 10th, 2021

Memory suppliers, Sony, and TSMC benefitting from strong demand and supply shortages.

IC Insights’ recently released its compilation of third-quarter sales growth expectations for the top-25 semiconductor suppliers. For the third quarter of this year (ending in September), sales growth outlooks for the top-25 suppliers range from 16th-ranked Sony’s 34% increase at the high end, to Intel’s 3% decline on the low end.

Third-quarter growth expectations for the top-15 suppliers are shown in Figure 1.  In advance of an expected surge in demand for 5G smartphones during the upcoming holiday season, Qualcomm and Apple anticipate significant increases in their 3Q21 semiconductor sales.  Also, the big three memory IC suppliers—Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron—are each expected to post a 10% increase and Kioxia is anticipated to show an 11% jump in 3Q21 sales as demand remains strong for memory in data center servers, enterprise computing, and for 5G smartphones and related infrastructure.

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Top-15 Semi Companies Log Year-Over-Year Growth of 21% in 1Q21

Tuesday, May 25th, 2021

Excluding Intel, the group would have shown a 29% jump in 1Q21/1Q20 sales.

IC Insights released its May Update to the 2021 McClean Report last week.  This Update included a discussion of the 1Q21 IC industry market results, an updated quarterly forecast for the remainder of this year, and a look at the top-25 1Q21 semiconductor suppliers. The top-15 1Q21 semiconductor suppliers are covered in this research bulletin.

The top-15 worldwide semiconductor (IC and O S D—optoelectronic, sensor, and discrete) sales ranking for 1Q21 is shown in Figure 1.  It includes eight suppliers headquartered in the U.S., two each in South Korea, Taiwan and Europe, and one in Japan.  The ranking includes six fabless companies (Qualcomm, Broadcom, Nvidia, MediaTek, AMD, and Apple) and one pure-play foundry (TSMC).


Figure 1

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Sampling of 2Q Semiconductor Sales Guidance Now At -5%

Thursday, June 4th, 2020

Six companies expect an increase in 2Q sales while 15 companies anticipate flat or declining sales.

As part of its May Update to the 2020 McClean Report, IC Insights compiled a list of semiconductor companies that have provided 2Q20 sales guidance. The list included companies from across all geographic regions and all product categories.

Because of uncertainty regarding the impact of Covid-19 on business in the second half of this year, many semiconductor companies have not provided full year 2020 guidance.  However, several provided an outlook for 2Q20 (Figure 1).  Of those that issued quarterly guidance, most expanded the range of their projections to be wider than normal due to uncertainty surrounding the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.  The numbers shown in Figure 1 represent the mid-point of the guidance.

Collectively, the 21 companies on the list anticipate a sequential sales decline of 5% in the second quarter of 2020.  Despite tentative economic conditions, six companies expect to see their sales rise in 2Q, and 15 anticipate a sales decline.
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Texas Instruments Maintains Firm Grip As World’s Top Analog IC Supplier

Friday, May 29th, 2020

TI’s 2019 analog marketshare grew to 19% and ST climbed to fourth place as the top-10 suppliers collectively accounted for 62% of total analog sales..

The 10 largest suppliers of analog ICs collectively accounted for 62% or $34.2 billion of the $55.2 billion analog IC market in 2019. That was an increase of two points from 60% in 2018, according to data compiled and presented in the April Update to the 2020 McClean Report.  The update ranked the top semiconductor companies by sales in several major product categories, including DRAM, flash memory, microprocessors, microcontrollers, and analog ICs. Figure 1 shows IC Insights’ ranking of the largest 10 analog suppliers in 2019.

Figure 1

With analog sales of $10.2 billion and 19% marketshare, Texas Instruments held a firm grip on its position as the leading supplier of analog devices in 2019.  TI’s analog sales declined by about $600 million compared to 2018 yet it still had more than 10x the sales of tenth-ranked Renesas.  TI’s 2019 analog revenue accounted for 80% of its $12.8 billion in IC sales and 75% of its $13.7 billion in total semiconductor revenue.

In 2019, TI’s analog sales were directed to industrial applications (36% of revenue), smartphones and other personal electronics (23% of revenue), and automotive applications (21% of revenue).  All three application segments are highly profitable and afford it the best opportunities for growth now and into the future, the company said.

Ranked in second place was Analog Devices (ADI), which saw its 2019 analog IC sales decrease 6% to $5.2 billion, accounting for 10% global analog marketshare.  ADI said its devices, including many of the products it obtained through its 2017 acquisition of Linear Technology, address opportunities “from sensor-to-cloud, DC to 100 gigahertz and beyond, and nanowatts to kilowatts.”  Its 2019 sales by end-use application were segmented into industrial (50%), communication (21%), automotive (16%), and consumer (13%).

Each of Europe’s three major IC suppliers—Infineon, ST, and NXP—was a top-10 analog supplier in 2019. Collectively, they accounted for 18% of global analog marketshare, two points more than in 2018. Infineon was the highest ranked European analog supplier (third place) with sales of nearly $3.8 billion. Infineon continues to grow its presence in automotive (44% of 2019 sales) and power management (30% of 2019 sales) applications.  Industrial power control (18%) and chip card and security (8%) rounded out its other major end-use applications.

Though ST’s analog IC revenue slipped 3% in 2019, it moved up one position to fourth place in the ranking.  ST’s analog sales fell to $3.3 billion (6% marketshare). ST’s analog focus is on motion control (motor driver ICs and high-voltage driver ICs), automation (intelligent power switches), and energy management (powerline communication ICs) applications.  One of the key growth areas for NXP is automotive where its analog sales are essential components in emerging systems such as LiDAR, vehicle networks, and 5G.  NXP was ranked number six with sales of $2.6 billion (5% marketshare).

Swapping places with ST and slipping into fifth place in 2019 was Skyworks Solutions.  After achieving record analog sales of $3.7 billion in 2018, the company’s analog sales fell 13% in 2019.  The decrease in sales was partially blamed on the U.S.-China trade war. China was the second-largest regional market for Skyworks’ sales in 2018 and 2019.  Many of Skyworks’ customers are manufacturers of smartphones and other communications and computing equipment and have a large presence in China.  Despite the downturn, the company accelerated the ramp of its portfolio of new analog chips and chipsets for the launch of 5G smartphones, wireless infrastructure applications, and wireless gaming headsets.

After three consecutive years of double-digit increases in its analog sales, ON Semiconductor saw its analog sales drop 13% in 2019. ON has been the beneficiary of significant growth in auto, industrial, and cloud power applications that have been key drivers for its analog revenue growth the past several years.

Ninth-ranked Microchip was the only top-10 analog supplier to see an increase in its analog sales, which increased 10% to $1.5 billion. Microchip completed its acquisition of Microsemi in May 2018, which helped provide it with a nice boost to full-year analog sales in 2019.

Report Details:  The 2020 McClean Report
Additional details on sales rankings for the leading IC suppliers by product type (e.g., DRAM, flash memory, analog, MPU, MCU, etc.) are provided in the April Update to The McClean Report—A Complete Analysis and Forecast of the Integrated Circuit Industry. A subscription to The McClean Report includes free monthly updates from March through November (including the 200+ page Mid-Year Update), and free access to subscriber-only webinars throughout the year.  An individual user license to The McClean Report is priced at $4,990 and includes an Internet access password.  A multi-user worldwide corporate license is available for $7,990.

Intel to Reclaim Number One Semiconductor Supplier Ranking in 2019

Monday, November 18th, 2019

Sony tops among only three top-15 semiconductor suppliers to show growth this year.

IC Insights’ November Update to the 2019 McClean Report, released later this month, includes a discussion of the forecasted top-25 semiconductor suppliers in 2019 (the top-15 2019 semiconductor suppliers are covered in this research bulletin). The Update also includes a detailed five-year forecast of the IC market by product type (including dollar volume, unit shipments, and average selling price) and a forecast of the major semiconductor industry capital spenders for 2019 and 2020.

The expected top-15 worldwide semiconductor (IC and O-S-D—optoelectronic, sensor, and discrete) sales ranking for 2019 is shown in Figure 1. It includes six suppliers headquartered in the U.S., three in Europe, two each in South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan.

Figure 1

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Intel Recaptures Number One Quarterly Semi Supplier Ranking from Samsung

Thursday, May 16th, 2019

After surpassing Samsung in 4Q18, Intel further extends its lead in 1Q19.

IC Insights will release its May Update to the 2019 McClean Report later this month.  This Update includes a discussion of the 1Q19 IC industry market results, an updated quarterly forecast for the remainder of this year, and a look at the top-25 1Q19 semiconductor suppliers. The top-15 1Q19 semiconductor suppliers are covered in this research bulletin.

The top-15 worldwide semiconductor (IC and O S D—optoelectronic, sensor, and discrete) sales ranking for 1Q19 is shown in Figure 1.  It includes six suppliers headquartered in the U.S., three in Europe, two each in South Korea and Japan, and one each in Taiwan and China.

Figure 1

Figure 1

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Texas Instruments Widens Its Lead As World’s Top Analog IC Supplier

Thursday, May 9th, 2019

TI’s 2018 analog sales rise to $10.8 billion; Infineon moves into third position, ST posts strongest annual increase as top-10 suppliers collectively account for 60% of total analog market.

The 10 largest suppliers of analog ICs accounted for 60% of worldwide analog sales last year, or $36.1 billion, compared to nearly 61% in 2017, or about $33.0 billion, according to IC Insights’ 2018 rankings of leading semiconductor companies.   The April Update to IC Insights’ 2019 McClean Report ranks the top 50 semiconductor suppliers and lists leading companies in several major product categories, including DRAM, flash memory, microprocessors, microcontrollers, and analog ICs.  Figure 1 shows IC Insights’ ranking of the largest 10 analog suppliers in 2018.

Figure 1

 

Intel Expected to Recapture #1 Semi Supplier Ranking in 2019

Thursday, March 7th, 2019

Steep memory market plunge likely to push Samsung’s 2019 semiconductor sales down by 20%.

IC Insights is currently updating its 2019-2023 semiconductor market forecasts that will be presented later this month in the March Update, the first monthly Update to the 500-page, 2019 edition of The McClean Report—A Complete Analysis and Forecast of the Integrated Circuit Industry (released in January 2019).

For 2019, a steep 24% drop in the memory market is forecast to pull the total semiconductor market down by 7%.  With 83% of Samsung’s semiconductor sales being memory devices last year, the memory market downturn is expected to drag the company’s total semiconductor sales down by 20% this year.  Although Intel’s semiconductor sales are forecast to be relatively flat in 2019, the company is poised to regain the number 1 semiconductor supplier ranking this year (Figure 1), a position it held from 1993 through 2016.

Figure 1


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Seven Top-15 1H18 Semi Suppliers Register ≥20% Gains

Monday, August 20th, 2018
Samsung extends its number one ranking and sales lead over Intel to 22%.

IC Insights released its August Update to the 2018 McClean Report earlier this month.  This Update included a discussion of the top-25 semiconductor suppliers in 1H18 (the top-15 1H18 semiconductor suppliers are covered in this research bulletin) and Part 1 of an extensive analysis of the IC foundry market and its suppliers.

The top-15 worldwide semiconductor (IC and O-S-D—optoelectronic, sensor, and discrete) sales ranking for 1H18 is shown in Figure 1.  It includes seven suppliers headquartered in the U.S., three in Europe, two each in South Korea and Taiwan, and one in Japan.  After announcing in early April 2018 that it had successfully moved its headquarters location from Singapore to the U.S. IC Insights now classifies Broadcom as a U.S. company.

1H18 Top- 15 SEminconductor sale leaders

Figure 1

As shown, all but four of the top 15 companies had double-digit year-over-year growth in 1H18. Moreover, seven companies had ≥20% growth, including the five big memory suppliers (Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, Toshiba/Toshiba Memory, and Western Digital/SanDisk) as well as Nvidia and ST.

 

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