Posts Tagged ‘McClean Report’
Thursday, May 16th, 2019
After surpassing Samsung in 4Q18, Intel further extends its lead in 1Q19.
IC Insights will release its May Update to the 2019 McClean Report later this month. This Update includes a discussion of the 1Q19 IC industry market results, an updated quarterly forecast for the remainder of this year, and a look at the top-25 1Q19 semiconductor suppliers. The top-15 1Q19 semiconductor suppliers are covered in this research bulletin.
The top-15 worldwide semiconductor (IC and O S D—optoelectronic, sensor, and discrete) sales ranking for 1Q19 is shown in Figure 1. It includes six suppliers headquartered in the U.S., three in Europe, two each in South Korea and Japan, and one each in Taiwan and China.
Tags: Broadcom, FabLess, Foundry Market, HiSilicon, ICManufacturing, Infineon, intel, McClean Report, micron, NVIDIA, NXP, qualcomm, samsung, SK Hynix, Sony, ST, TI, toshiba, tsmc
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Tuesday, April 30th, 2019
Weak early year results increase downside risk to IC Insights’ -9% 2019 IC market forecast.
IC Insights will report on and examine the 1Q19 worldwide IC market results in its May Update to the 500-page, 2019 edition of The McClean Report—A Complete Analysis and Forecast of the Integrated Circuit Industry next month.
From 1Q84 through 1Q19 there have been 141 quarters, and only seven of them registered an IC market decline of ≥10%. Figure 1 ranks the largest double-digit sequential quarterly IC market declines that have occurred since 1984. As shown, the 1Q19/4Q18 IC market decline of 17.6% was the fourth largest since 1984 and the third largest first quarter decline over that same timeperiod.
 Figure 1
As shown, each year in which a double-digit quarterly IC market decline occurred, the full-year IC market dropped by at least 9%. It is interesting to note that three of the seven largest quarterly IC market downturns since 1984 took place during the first three quarters of 2001, which put the 3Q01 IC market 44% below that of 4Q00. As a result, 2001’s disastrous full-year IC market decline of 33% still stands as the worst annual performance in the history of the IC industry.The first quarter is usually the weakest quarter of the year for the IC market, averaging a sequential decline of 2.1% over the past 36 years, but the severity of the 1Q19/4Q18 IC market drop has started this year off at a very low level. As a result, given the typical seasonality of the IC market, an abnormally strong second half of the year will be required in order to avoid a full-year 2019 double-digit IC market decline.
Report Details: The 2019 McClean Report
Additional details on the 2019 quarterly IC market trends and forecasts will be provided in the May Update to The McClean Report—A Complete Analysis and Forecast of the Integrated Circuit Industry (released in January 2019). A subscription to The McClean Report includes free monthly updates from March through November (including a 200+ page Mid-Year Update), and free access to subscriber-only webinars throughout the year. An individual-user license to the 2019 edition of The McClean Report is priced at $4,990 and includes an Internet access password. A multi-user worldwide corporate license is available for $7,990.
To review additional information about IC Insights’ new and existing market research reports and services please visit our website: www.icinsights.com.
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Tags: IC manufacturing, McClean Report, Semiconductors
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Thursday, March 7th, 2019
Steep memory market plunge likely to push Samsung’s 2019 semiconductor sales down by 20%.
IC Insights is currently updating its 2019-2023 semiconductor market forecasts that will be presented later this month in the March Update, the first monthly Update to the 500-page, 2019 edition of The McClean Report—A Complete Analysis and Forecast of the Integrated Circuit Industry (released in January 2019).
For 2019, a steep 24% drop in the memory market is forecast to pull the total semiconductor market down by 7%. With 83% of Samsung’s semiconductor sales being memory devices last year, the memory market downturn is expected to drag the company’s total semiconductor sales down by 20% this year. Although Intel’s semiconductor sales are forecast to be relatively flat in 2019, the company is poised to regain the number 1 semiconductor supplier ranking this year (Figure 1), a position it held from 1993 through 2016.
 Figure 1
Tags: ICManufacturing, intel, McClean Report, micron, NXP, powerchip, qualcomm, samsung, TI, toshiba, tsmc
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Friday, February 22nd, 2019
Despite increasing development costs, IC manufacturers continue to make great strides.
The advancement of the IC industry hinges on the ability of IC manufacturers to continue offering more performance and functionality for the money. As mainstream CMOS processes reach their theoretical, practical, and economic limits, lowering the cost of ICs (on a per-function or per-performance basis) is more critical and challenging than ever. The 500-page, 2019 edition of IC Insights’ McClean Report—A Complete Analysis and Forecast of the Integrated Circuit Industry (released in January 2019) shows that there is more variety than ever among the logic-oriented process technologies that companies offer. Figure 1 lists several of the leading advanced logic technologies that companies are presently using. Derivative versions of each process generation between major nodes have become regular occurrences.
 Figure 1 (more…)
Tags: Foundry Market, global foundry, globalfoundaries, intel, McClean Report, samsung, Semiconductors, smic, tsmc, umc
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Thursday, February 14th, 2019
China shows biggest increase, nearly matching North America with 12
IC Insights recently released its new Global Wafer Capacity 2019-2023 report that provides in-depth detail, analyses, and forecasts for IC industry capacity by wafer size, process geometry, region, and product type through 2023. Figure 1 shows the world’s installed monthly wafer production capacity by geographic region (or country) as of December 2018. Each number represents the total installed monthly capacity of fabs located in that region regardless of the headquarters location of the company that own the fab(s). For example, the wafer capacity that South Korea-based Samsung has installed in the U.S. is counted in the North America capacity total, not in the South Korea capacity total. The ROW “region” consists primarily of Singapore, Israel, and Malaysia, but also includes countries/regions such as Russia, Belarus, and Australia.
 Figure 1 (more…)
Tags: McClean Report, Semiconductors, wafer, Wafer Capacity
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Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019
The 2019-2023 correlation coefficient forecast to reach 0.93, up from 0.86 from 2010-2018.
IC Insights is in the process of completing its forecast and analysis of the IC industry and will present its new findings in The McClean Report 2019, which will be published later this month. Among the semiconductor industry data included in the new 500-page report is an analysis of the correlation between IC market growth and global GDP growth.
Figure 1 depicts the increasingly close correlation between worldwide GDP growth and IC market growth through 2018, as well as IC Insights’ forecast through 2023.
 Figure 1
Over the 2010-2018 timeframe, the correlation coefficient between worldwide GDP growth and IC market growth was 0.86 (0.91 excluding memory in 2017 and 2018), a strong figure given that a perfect positive correlation is 1.0. In the three decades previous to this timeperiod, the correlation coefficient ranged from a relatively weak 0.63 in the early 2000s to a negative correlation (i.e., essentially no correlation) of -0.10 in the 1990s.
IC Insights believes that the increasing number of mergers and acquisitions, leading to fewer major IC manufacturers and suppliers, is one of major changes in the supply base that illustrates the maturing of the industry and has helped foster a closer correlation between worldwide GDP growth and IC market growth. Another reason for a better correlation between worldwide GDP growth and IC market growth is the continued movement to a more consumer driven IC market. IC Insights believes that 20 years ago, about 60% of the IC market was driven by business applications and 40% by consumer applications with those percentages being reversed today. As a result, with a more consumer-oriented environment driving electronic system sales, and in turn IC market growth, the health of the worldwide economy is increasingly important in gauging IC market trends.
Report Details: The 2019 McClean Report
Additional information on IC Insights’ IC market forecasts through 2023 is included in the 2019 edition of The McClean Report—A Complete Analysis and Forecast of the Integrated Circuit Industry, which will be released in January 2019. A subscription to The McClean Report includes free monthly updates from March through November (including a 200+ page Mid-Year Update), and free access to subscriber-only webinars throughout the year. An individual user license to the 2019 edition of The McClean Report is priced at $4,990 and includes an Internet access password. A multi-user worldwide corporate license is available for $7,990.As part of your 2019 subscription, you are entitled to free attendance at a McClean Report half-day seminar (one seat for each copy purchased; company-wide licensees receive five free seats). The remaining schedule for this year’s McClean Report seminar tour is shown below.
Thursday, January 24, 2019 — Sunnyvale, California
(Space is limited, please call for availability)Tuesday, January 29, 2019 — Boston, Massachusetts
(Space is limited, please call for availability)
Tags: GDP, IC, McClean Report, Semiconductors
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Thursday, January 17th, 2019
2018 semiconductor M&A valued at $23.2 billion, down from the record $107.3 billion in 2015.
IC Insights is in the process of completing its forecast and analysis of the IC industry and will present its new findings in The McClean Report 2019, which will be published later this month. Among the semiconductor industry data included in the new 400+ page report is an analysis of semiconductor merger and acquisition agreements.
The historic flood of merger and acquisition agreements that swept through the semiconductor industry in 2015 and 2016 slowed significantly in 2017 and then eased back further in 2018, but the total value of M&A deals reached in the last year was still nearly more than twice the annual average during the first half of this decade. Acquisition agreements reached in 2018 for semiconductor companies, business units, product lines, and related assets had a combined value of $23.2 billion compared to $28.1 billion in 2017, based on data compiled by IC Insights. The values of M&A deals struck in these years were significantly less than the record-high $107.3 billion set in 2015 (Figure 1)
 Figure 1 The original 2016 M&A total of $100.4 billion was lowered by $41.1 billion to $59.3 billion because several major acquisition agreements were not completed, including the largest proposed deal ever in semiconductor history—Qualcomm’s planned purchase of NXP Semiconductor for $39 billion, which was raised to $44 billion before being canceled in July 2018. Prior to the explosion of semiconductor acquisitions that erupted four years ago, M&A agreements in the chip industry had a total annual average value of $12.6 billion in the 2010-2014 timeperiod.
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Tags: M&A, McClean Report, mergers and acquitisition, Semiconductors
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Tuesday, January 15th, 2019
Top 10 companies held 60% of worldwide semiconductor market in 2018, up from 45% in 2008.
IC Insights is in the process of completing its forecast and analysis of the IC industry and will present its new findings in The McClean Report 2019, which will be published later this month. Among the semiconductor industry data included in the new 400+ page report is an analysis of the top-50 semiconductor suppliers.
Research included in the new McClean Report shows that the world’s leading semiconductor suppliers significantly increased their marketshare over the past decade. The top 5 semiconductor suppliers accounted for 47% of the world’s semiconductor sales in 2018, an increase of 14 percentage points from 10 years earlier (Figure 1). In total, the 2018 top 50 suppliers represented 89% of the total $514.0 billion worldwide semiconductor market last year, up seven percentage points from the 82% share the top 50 companies held in 2008.
As shown, the top 5, top 10, and top 25 companies’ share of the 2018 worldwide semiconductor market increased 14, 15, and 11 percentage points, respectively, as compared to 10 years earlier in 2008. With additional mergers and acquisitions expected over the next few years, IC Insights believes that the consolidation could raise the shares of the top suppliers to even loftier levels.
There was a wide 66-percentage point range of year-over-year growth rates among the top 50 semiconductor suppliers last year, from +56% for Nanya to -10% for Fujitsu. Nanya rode a surge of demand for its DRAM devices to post its great full-year results. However, evidence of a cool down in the memory market last year was evident in the company’s quarterly sales results, which saw its sales drop from $826 million in 2Q18 to $550 million in 4Q18 (a 33% plunge). Overall, four of the top seven growth companies last year—Nanya, SK Hynix, Micron, and Samsung—were major memory suppliers. Although Nanya registered the highest percentage increase, Samsung had the largest dollar volume semiconductor sales increase, a whopping one-year jump of $17.0 billion!
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Tags: McClean Report, micron, Nanya, samsung, Semiconductors, SK Hynix
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Friday, January 11th, 2019
2019 to be third year of greater than $25.0B in spending for flash, topping both DRAM, foundry.
IC Insights is in the process of completing its forecast and analysis of the IC industry and will present its new findings in The McClean Report 2019, which will be published later this month. Among the semiconductor industry data included in the new 400+ page report is an in-depth analysis of semiconductor capital spending.
The semiconductor industry is expected to allocate the largest portion of its capex spending for flash memory again in 2019, marking the third consecutive year that flash has led all other segments in spending (Figure 1). Flash memory trailed the foundry segment in capex in 2016, but took an extra-large jump in 2017, growing 92% to $27.6 billion and increased another 16% to $31.9 billion in 2018 as manufacturers expanded and upgraded their production lines for 3D NAND to meet growing demand. With much of the expansion now completed or expected to be wrapped up in 2019, flash capex is forecast to decline 18% this year to $26.0 billion, which still is a very healthy spending level.
Figure 1
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Tags: DRAM, Flash, Forecast, foundry, Foundry Market, McClean Report
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Tuesday, January 8th, 2019
Cryptocurrency boom in 1H18 helped China’s pure-play foundry market surge 41% last year.
IC Insights is in the process of completing its forecast and analysis of the IC industry and will present its new findings in The McClean Report 2019, which will be published later this month. Among the semiconductor industry data included in the new 400+ page report is an in-depth analysis of the IC foundry market and its suppliers.
With the recent rise of the fabless IC companies in China, the demand for foundry services has also risen in that country. In total, pure-play foundry sales in China jumped by 30% in 2017 to $7.6 billion, triple the 9% increase for the total pure-play foundry market that year. Moreover, in 2018, pure-play foundry sales to China surged by an amazing 41%, over 8x the 5% increase for the total pure-play foundry market last year.
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Tags: America, asia-, China, Europe, Forecast, foundry, Foundry Market, IC manufacturing, Japan, McClean Report, Semiconductors
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