EDACafe Industry Predictions for 2023 – V2X

2023 V2X forecast By Autotalks

Before the forecast for 2023 is provided, it’s time to revisit the 2022 forecast. The first prediction about increased attention to V2X in two-wheelers was spot on. The unique value of using V2X to protect eBikes and eScooters was demonstrated and promoted. The second prediction about the market being quick to embrace cooperative perception didn’t materialize. The reason is the market’s focus on the launch of the basic Day1 V2X instead of the research of Day2 V2X. A prediction I should have made in 2022 is the start of deployment of V2X services along German roads including the Autobahn.

The forecast for 2023 is derived from two expected major milestones. First, EuroNCAP is expected to publish the test protocol for V2X for the 2026 safety ratings. With that, vehicles implementing V2X will be rewarded. Second, the FCC will publish the second Report & Order (R&O) containing C-V2X spectrum regulation in the US.

Those milestones will trigger V2X deployments in Europe and the US. In Europe, many carmakers (OEMs) are waiting for the release of the 2026 updated grading. Following that, their calculations will show that V2X deployment is the cheapest way to increase the vehicle safety rating. As a result, the V2X market launch will be accelerated.

In the US, the FCC R&O will finally give OEMs the long-awaited regulatory certainty. Once that happens, they will start planning their deployments, which are expected to start in 2026/7. In addition, the V2X Road-Side-Unit (RSU) devices will be upgraded to support C-V2X instead of the deprecated DSRC.

The V2X deployment in China will maintain its pace, and more new vehicle platforms will include V2X.

Category: Predictions

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