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Archive for July, 2020

NAND Flash, DRAM Forecast to Remain Largest IC Markets in 2020

Thursday, July 30th, 2020

The two memory categories expected to account for one-third of total IC sales this year.

IC Insights recently released its Mid-Year Update to The McClean Report 2020, which ranked the 33 largest IC product categories based on their expected sales and unit shipment volumes. The 33 IC product categories are those defined by the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) organization.  The five largest of these IC product segments in terms of sales volume and shipments are shown in Figure 1.

DRAM and NAND flash are expected to repeat as the two largest IC segments again in 2020 after holding the same positions in 2019. With expected sales growth of 3.2% this year, the DRAM market is forecast to reach nearly $64.6 billion, 15% greater than the NAND flash market, which is expected to be the second-largest IC segment in 2020.


Figure 1

IC Insights forecasts DRAM will account for 17.5% of the total $368.3 billion IC market in 2020.  The DRAM market achieved its highest-ever sales volume in 2018 when it reached $99.4 billion. That year, DRAM sales accounted for 23.6% of the total IC market.

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RF/Microwave to Lead Power Transistor Recovery in 2021

Friday, July 24th, 2020

 

The total power transistor market is expected to fall 7% in 2020 because of the Covid-19 virus crisis, but sales are forecast to rebound 7% next year and reach a new record high in 2022, says O-S-D Report.

After three straight years of record-high sales, the power transistor market is forecast to drop 7% in 2020 because of the economic fallout from the global Covid-19 virus health crisis that has driven down demand across a broad range of systems.  A recovery in power transistors is now expected to occur in 2021 with worldwide sales growing 7% to $16.9 billion and unit shipments rising 9% to 59.0 billion, according to IC Insights’ 2020 O-S-D Report—A Market Analysis and Forecast for Optoelectronics, Sensors/Actuators, and Discretes. The 2020 edition of the O-S-D Report shows the power transistor market returning to record-high territory in 2022, when sales are forecast to grow 5% to $17.7 billion, which would top the current annual peak of $17.1 billion set in 2019.

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1Q/4Q “Direction Indicator” Signals Rebound in the 2020 IC Market

Thursday, July 16th, 2020

After dropping by 15% last year, the worldwide IC market is expected to show single-digit growth in 2020, even with the disastrous effects of Covid-19 on the global economy.

IC Insights will release its 200+ page Mid-Year Update to the 2020 McClean Report later this month. The Mid-Year Update revises IC Insights’ worldwide economic and IC industry forecasts through 2024 that were published in The McClean Report 2020, released in January.

Figure 1 shows the 1Q/4Q IC market direction indicator that IC Insights developed 23 years ago.


Figure 1

From 1984-2019, the average seasonal sequential decline in the 1Q IC market was 2%.   In 1Q20, the IC market was down just 3% as compared to 4Q19, slightly below the 36-year average.  Excluding the years after the severe IC industry downturns of 1985 and 2001, IC Insights believes that the 1Q/4Q sequential quarterly IC market change is a good indicator of the direction and intensity of the annual IC market change.

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