Potential that China’s economy will break sharply to the downside from its current gradual downward slope .

IC Insights recently released its October Update to The McClean Report 2019.  Part of the update reviewed U.S. and China GDP and PMI trends in light of the current trade friction between the two nations.

Given that the global economy increased by a healthy 3.0% in 2018, it is difficult to comprehend that an economy growing 6% could be considered a risk factor for worldwide GDP growth this year. However, that is the case with China and it’s slowing economic growth. Of concern is that China’s quarterly economic growth will break sharply to the downside from its current gradual downward slope (Figure 1).